Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.837057 17.890337 20.125106 22.740627 25.721193 29.015837 32.939057
2025-02-16 12.001062 14.534794 17.502155 21.243391 25.848066 31.347540 38.439736
2025-02-23 9.470154 12.194997 15.599810 20.187423 26.239094 33.992902 44.750919
2025-03-02 7.698787 10.480270 14.166777 19.445898 26.870383 37.026467 52.120218
2025-03-09 6.462242 9.256674 13.166690 19.091271 27.937192 40.806149 61.221282
2025-03-16 5.499573 8.254192 12.305535 18.773987 28.985944 44.726233 71.287416
2025-03-23 4.915011 7.709042 12.016946 19.246682 31.287638 50.912055 86.078905
2025-03-30 4.319035 7.051424 11.449804 19.177439 32.699888 55.912633 99.919723
2025-04-06 3.742514 6.337109 10.681109 18.640799 33.219112 59.478391 111.950628
2025-04-13 3.293195 5.769737 10.071751 18.273089 33.957134 63.533641 125.693089
2025-04-20 3.034400 5.496978 9.932462 18.725620 36.278033 70.927000 147.531490
2025-04-27 2.831975 5.296538 9.892088 19.351876 39.033672 79.651144 174.011188
2025-05-04 2.586006 4.988369 9.621320 19.514979 40.953280 87.176796 199.970205
2025-05-11 2.306388 4.577059 9.093827 19.072582 41.526846 91.960717 220.839743
2025-05-18 2.072621 4.226582 8.640654 18.717419 42.236822 97.207565 244.173323
2025-05-25 1.876553 3.928055 8.254351 18.448591 43.101838 103.001849 270.400912
2025-06-01 1.723258 3.700336 7.988175 18.411035 44.514888 110.423544 302.924540
2025-06-08 1.583423 3.483721 7.716848 18.318296 45.779191 117.738167 337.124016
2025-06-15 1.507406 3.400685 7.736522 18.936663 48.984925 130.845100 391.944809
2025-06-22 1.401621 3.234924 7.540573 18.982068 50.682927 140.195708 437.905751
2025-06-29 1.277813 3.010783 7.175106 18.530481 50.934364 145.494873 472.387291
2025-07-06 1.175246 2.825435 6.880467 18.220838 51.532902 151.950596 512.641330
2025-07-13 1.123330 2.759529 6.877839 18.713069 54.584504 166.593883 586.080061